The Colts need to win this game to clinch an AFC wild-card spot and, of course, every analyst breaking down the playoff scenarios is pretty much writing down a Colts “W” in permanent marker as if it’s a foregone conclusion. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (+15.5) over Indianapolis Colts His handicapping pieces appear in VSiN’s online magazine, Point Spread Weekly. Listen Live to VSiN’s sports betting shows.ĭave Tuley, senior reporter at, is in his fourth season with The Post’s Bettor’s Guide. Indianapolis has often masked its deficiencies by creating turnovers the Colts entered Sunday’s game with a chance at the league lead, against a Jaguars team that has turned it over more than any team in the NFL.īut the takeaway never came, and Jacksonville scored just enough points to all but end the Colts’ playoff hopes.Want even more betting news? Sign up for VSiN’s free daily newsletter. Meanwhile, with Ya-Sin out and DeForest Buckner able to play only on third downs, a Colts pass rush that has been the worst Indianapolis has put together failed to get any pressure on Lawrence, sacking him just once and recording just two quarterback hits. Lawrence completed his first 12 passes and finished 23 of 32 for 223 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. Indianapolis defense torn apart by Trevor LawrenceĪ Colts defense that has relied on its cornerbacks this season lost Rock Ya-Sin on the first drive, and the No. Instead, Jacksonville’s defensive line overmatched and overwhelmed the pride of the Colts’ roster, shutting down Jonathan Taylor’s running lanes for the entirety of the first half and racking up six sacks on Wentz. Indianapolis should have been able to ride that line to a win, regardless of how the quarterback played. The Colts have the NFL’s best guard in Quenton Nelson, a three-time Pro Bowl center in Ryan Kelly, a $72 million right tackle in Braden Smith and a veteran left tackle, Eric Fisher, who was brought in to stabilize a spot left open by the retirement of Anthony Castonzo. Indianapolis is supposed to be built on the strength of its offensive line. Wentz’s collapse now leaves Indianapolis with quarterback questions for the fifth consecutive year, albeit without a first-round pick and with a ton of prohibitive dead money on the salary cap. Indianapolis stopped getting explosive passing plays, Wentz struggled with his accuracy, and in the two biggest games of the season, Wentz killed the Colts. That dynamic disappeared outside of the final drive in Arizona, and Wentz’s worst qualities became magnified, the same way Jacoby Brissett’s worst qualities came to the forefront in 2019. Big, elusive and strong-armed, Wentz was supposed to add a big-play element to the offense, and he did early in the season. Wentz tried to force the ball to Mo Alie-Cox instead of flipping it to an open Jonathan Taylor, and tossed his first road interception and gave away any chance the Colts had of coming back.īut outside of the fourth quarter in Arizona, Wentz’s play fit what he’d been doing down the stretch. The next was the sort of play that hasn’t burned him this season. Wentz tried it again as a Jacksonville rusher came free, got the ball knocked out of his hand for a fumble and gave up a field goal attempt. For the most part, he’d been able to avoid interceptions, but he’s frequently tried to avoid sacks by shoveling or pitching the ball for plays that have no chance. The first, an ugly fumble in his own territory, stemmed from a problem Wentz has had all season long. Inaccurate, indecisive and reckless, Wentz completed 17 of 29 passes for 185 yards, took six sacks and made two back-breaking plays that sealed the Colts’ fate. Wentz hit rock bottom on Sunday in Jacksonville. For weeks, Jonathan Taylor’s brilliance, opportunistic defensive play and a mirage of a fourth quarter in Arizona allowed Indianapolis to mask the fact that the starting quarterback it traded to get this offseason was collapsing.
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